Coming to Terms: Implications of Trump’s Second Term for US-China Relations

Zandrea Xi

On November 6, 2024, Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election, becoming the 47th president. His victory has sparked speculation about the future of U.S.–China relations under a second Trump administration. During his first term, Trump launched a trade war with China, imposing tariffs of up to 25% on various Chinese goods. Now, he pledges to expand these tariffs to 60% or more on all Chinese imports.

Beyond trade, technological competition has also become a focal point of U.S.–China relations, with China's advancements perceived as a threat to U.S. national security. This stems from America's reliance on Chinese technology imports and concerns over China's military development. 

Based on Trump’s previous policies, it would not be surprising to see a continuation of his confrontational rhetoric and unilateral actions toward China. Additionally, rising suspicions about China could discourage U.S. citizens from pursuing business, travel, or educational opportunities there, further diminishing mutual understanding between the two nations. 

In short, Trump's second term is likely to escalate tensions between the US and China, profoundly affecting trade, technology, and public opinion. As distrust grows, promoting dialogue and informed understanding will be essential for addressing these complex geopolitical challenges.


References

Goodman, P. S. (2024, November 11). As Trump threatens a wider trade war, the U.S. confronts a changed China. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/11/business/trump-china-trade-war.html

Huld, A., & Zhou, Q. (2024, November 7). Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election: Implications for China. China Briefing. https://www.china-briefing.com/news/trump-china-us-relations-2024-election-victory-implications-businesses/

Council on Foreign Relations. (n.d.). U.S.-China relations. Council on Foreign Relations. https://www.cfr.org/timeline/us-china-relations